From: John Conover <john@email.johncon.com>
Subject: Subject: Re: Quantitative Analysis of Non-Linear High Entropy Economic Systems VII
Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2008 23:08:42 -0700
A short addition to Quantitative Analysis of Non-Linear High Entropy
Economic Systems VII, on the current economic crisis. It analyzes how
bad things could get. The crisis is a year old, on October 9'th, and
projects to be about twice as bad as the 2000 dot-com crash, and half as
bad as the Great Depression, with a 50/50 chance of bottoming before
February, 2010, and a little more than a 25% chance of lasting 12.5 years.
John
Quantitative Analysis of Non-Linear High Entropy Economic Systems VII
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John Conover, john@email.johncon.com, http://www.johncon.com/